Your week priced off the betting market and restated at your league’s own settings, not somebody else’s PPR.
Open Start / Sit → Price a claim What a waiver is worth in your dollarsComputed one rival at a time from each team’s remaining budget and its actual hole, never a national average.
Open the FAAB Advisor → Move a player The trades that improve both lineupsPaste the two rosters. Every combination is scored on each side’s own horizon, so a trade worth sending is one the other manager can accept.
Open the Trade Finder → Do this once Save your leagueScoring, roster slots and budget. Every number on this site is restated in them from then on, on every page, free.
Save my league →Today
What the desk published since you last looked, and the one argument it is having with itself.
The Newsroom
The whole desk →Eight analysts, one set of facts. The week’s packages, newest first, each with a Weekly Fantasy read and a DFS read of the same research. Who they are, and the AI disclosure →
Vega vs. Brooks
Slide it yourself →The desk’s one standing argument, in two columns. Five players each, every week: the man from the betting market and the man from the rankings, each making the case for the players he expects to beat the other one’s number. Who they are, and the AI disclosure →
The week’s calls
Six standing columns, each one a stated position with the number behind it: the ranking that is about to break, the player to buy, the coach whose play-calling is the reason, and the position groups underneath all three.
The Tell
The whole column →Every ranking has a tell: the one number inside it that says whether the rest will hold. Six players a week whose rank and whose projection disagree — touchdown share, the betting market’s offense ranks, and the reason each one is about to embarrass its own tier.
The Pick
Every entry →One story a day, each one arguing a single idea — scarcity, scoring settings, tier cliffs — with the projection numbers that prove it and the player it tells you to buy.
Vegas vs. Consensus
See it on your cheat sheet →Iron Tuna prices every player against the betting market. Almost nobody else does. These are the players where that changes the number — recomputed from the live lines, with a new case every six hours.
Why the odds get a vote
A sportsbook posts a number with its own money behind it. Get it wrong and sharp bettors take the other side until it moves, so every line is priced off repeatable trends, statistical modeling, and injury and usage news the moment it lands — then corrected in public, continuously.
A ranking carries no such penalty. Anyone with a TikTok account and a hunch can publish a top 200, never revisit it, and pay nothing when it misses. That is not an argument that the book is always right. It is an argument that when a priced market and an unpriced list disagree, the disagreement is worth a look.
Iron Tuna’s prices already carry the odds — every value on your cheat sheet is blended toward the market. Almost no ranking or ADP list does that. So each case here is the gap between what the consensus is charging you and what the lines say the player is worth.
- Read the implied points, not the spread. A spread and a total together give each offense its expected points per game — the scoring environment every skill player on that roster inherits.
- Compare like with like. The useful question is never “is this team good?” but whether the market ranks that offense higher or lower than the consensus projections already do.
- Buy the gap, not the name. The edge is the distance between a player’s consensus price and the market-implied one — a cheap player the odds like is worth more than a stud everyone already agrees on.
- Respect the clamp. One weird line is noise. Treat a gap as a tiebreaker between players you already rate closely, not a reason to blow up your board.
Loading the current case…
Position Intel
All insights →Every story is a stat-backed call from the 2026 research set, read through an auction lens.
Just Posted
All the drops →The desk publishes three insights a day on weekdays. These are the newest ones, each linking to its full write-up.
Start with Game Style.
Waiting for this week’s slate
Iron Tuna compares the safest roster with the additional ceiling available farther up the payout curve, and recommends the contest where the added payoff best compensates for the added risk.
Understand the contest before building the lineup.
Start with the structure, then learn how stacks, correlation, leverage and ownership change by contest.
Starting out: how DFS contests work → Strategy: stacks, leverage and correlation →Locks, exclusions, stacking rules, your own contest’s salary file, and up to twenty lineups off one core.
Open the DFS sheet → The board behind it Value, ceiling and leverageEvery priced player with his floor, his ceiling, his modeled ownership and what the market disagrees with the consensus about.
Vegas Values → Correlate it The games worth stackingThe highest-total games on the slate, each side’s quarterback with his best-priced catchers, and the bring-back.
Game Stacks →The lineup
One slate, one cap, solved. Pick the contest you are entering and the roster below is re-solved for it — floors for a double-up, ceiling discounted by ownership for a large field.
The slate under it
The evidence the roster is solved from: the scoring environment, the widest values, the games worth correlating and the touchdown market.
The Slate
The whole DFS sheet →Daily fantasy is the purest version of what this site already does: no rest of season to project, only the games on the board, what the market expects out of them, and a salary cap that is an auction budget by another name.
Reading the slate…
The Newsroom, DFS lens
The whole desk →Vegas Values
Every row →The Vegas Value Score is market-implied points per $1,000 of salary, indexed to the slate’s median: 100 is an ordinary price, 130 is a bargain.
| Player | Salary | Vegas | Iron Tuna | Consensus | Market Delta | TD % | VVS |
|---|
Reading the board…
Game Stacks
Every game →The highest-total games on the slate, each side’s quarterback with his best-priced pass catchers, and the bring-back from the other side.
Reading the game lines…
TD Board
The whole board →Players by the probability of scoring at least once, with the salary it costs to own that chance. Quoted where a book prices it, derived where none does, and labeled either way.
| # | Player | Salary | Anytime TD | TD % per $1K | Team total | Basis |
|---|
Reading the touchdown market…
Lineup Builder
Build lineups against the cap on Iron Tuna, Vegas or consensus points, with stacks, bring-backs and a per-team cap.
Pick’em board
Higher or lower on a posted stat line, read against the sportsbook median the model disagrees with.
Game Intel
Every game this week with its line, its total, and the points each offense is implied to score.
Vegas Edge
The players the betting market and the consensus rankings disagree about, and by how much. 21+.
The posted market beside Iron Tuna’s projection for the same game, including what has moved since the first stored observation.
Read the board → Player props The prop versus our projectionQuoted player markets only where the feed actually carries one. Derived Iron Tuna numbers are never presented as sportsbook odds.
Read the props → The column The LineEvery game on the slate against the posted number, with the model disagreement explained and the market movement beside it.
Open The Line →Game markets
The market number is the input. Iron Tuna’s projection is our independent output. Tuna Edge is simply the difference between the two, not a guarantee or a bet recommendation.
21+ market information. Iron Tuna does not accept wagers or place bets. Betting Market Intel is not available in Washington, where market-data requests are blocked at the edge. Market prices move, so verify any number at its source before relying on it.
| Game | Spread | O/U | Market implied | Iron Tuna Projection | Tuna Edge | Movement |
|---|
Reading the current game markets…
Player props
The sportsbook consensus across the fantasy-relevant markets PropLine carries: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, touchdowns, interceptions and anytime-TD prices. The baseline is our first observation within the stored window, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
| Player | Prop | Current line | Over / Yes | Baseline | Move | Books | Source |
|---|
Reading quoted player props…
Prop & line movement
Changes between stored PropLine quotes, collected hourly. Baselines are first observations within the last 24 hours; paid provider opening history, when available, is labeled separately. Line move is the median change at comparable books. Agreement counts books moving in the same direction, not confirmed sharp money or a real-time steam alert. Changes between polls can be missed.
| Player | Market | Baseline | Current | Line move | Price move | Books | Agreement / signal |
|---|
Reading prop and line movement…
The Line
The widest model-versus-market disagreements on the current slate. The full column keeps every game, including the ones where the model and the market agree.
Reading The Line…
How Iron Tuna reads the market
Iron Tuna’s proprietary formulas translate spreads, over/unders, player props and related betting information into projections. The model then blends that market read with other projection inputs and evaluates line movement before deciding how much weight the movement deserves.
The posted market
Totals, spreads and player props are observations. They are kept separate from anything Iron Tuna derives from them.
Odds into projections
Iron Tuna converts market prices into expected football outcomes, then scores those outcomes into fantasy terms where applicable.
Signal versus noise
Movement gets context. Broad, corroborated movement can earn more weight; popularity-driven or isolated movement can be discounted rather than blindly followed.
Methodology note: a sportsbook line is not an Iron Tuna projection, and an Iron Tuna projection is not a sportsbook quote. The source and basis should remain visible anywhere the two appear together.